In
late 1978 the Chinese leadership began moving the economy from a sluggish, Soviet-style
centrally planned economy to a more market-oriented system. Whereas the
system operates within a political framework of strict Communist control, the
economic influence of non-state organizations and individual citizens has been
steadily increasing. The authorities switched to a system of household and village
responsibility in agriculture in place of the old collectivization, increased
the authority of local officials and plant managers in industry, permitted a wide
variety of small-scale enterprises in services and light manufacturing, and opened
the economy to increased foreign trade and investment. The result has been a quadrupling
of GDP since 1978. In 2003, with its 1.3 billion people but a GDP of just
$5,000 per capita, China stood as the second-largest economy in the world after
the US (measured on a purchasing power parity basis). Agriculture and industry
have posted major gains, especially in coastal areas near Hong Kong and opposite
Taiwan, where foreign investment has helped spur output of both domestic and export
goods. The leadership, however, often has experienced - as a result of
its hybrid system - the worst results of socialism (bureaucracy and lassitude)
and of capitalism (windfall gains and growing income disparities). China thus
has periodically backtracked, retightening central controls at intervals. The
government has struggled to (a) collect revenues due from provinces, businesses,
and individuals; (b) reduce corruption and other economic crimes; and (c) keep
afloat the large state-owned enterprises, many of which had been shielded from
competition by subsidies and had been losing the ability to pay full wages and
pensions. From 80 to 120 million surplus rural workers are adrift between
the villages and the cities, many subsisting through part-time low-paying jobs.
Popular resistance, changes in central policy, and loss of authority by rural
cadres have weakened China's population control program, which is essential to
maintaining long-term growth in living standards. Another long-term threat to
growth is the deterioration in the environment, notably air pollution, soil erosion,
and the steady fall of the water table especially in the north. China continues
to lose arable land because of erosion and economic development. Beijing says
it will intensify efforts to stimulate growth through spending on infrastructure
- such as water control and power grids - and poverty relief and through rural
tax reform aimed at eliminating arbitrary local levies on farmers. Accession
to the World Trade Organization helps strengthen China's ability to maintain strong
growth rates but at the same time puts additional pressure on the hybrid system
of strong political controls and growing market influences. China has benefited
from a huge expansion in computer internet use. Foreign investment remains a strong
element in China's remarkable economic growth.
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